Summary:
Scientists of IIT-Kanpur have applied a model that was used last year to predict the end of the first wave of Pandemic, to make a new prediction for the second wave of Covid-19 pandemic.
They have predicted that the second wave will peak in mid-April between April 15 and April 20 before it starts waning.
This means the Covid-19 surge may start receding in the next two weeks, according to the estimate made by the IIT scientists.
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When will the Covid-19 pandemic end? This was the question that dominated almost the entire of 2020 for us only to learn from experts that while Covid-19 may be brought under control, the disease is here to stay for really long.
The focus then shifted to `waves` of Covid-19 pandemic.
India is facing the second nationwide wave of Covid-19 pandemic.
Some places have seen more waves.
Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal recently said the city was witnessing its fourth wave of the Covid-19 pandemic timed with the second nationwide wave.
The second wave of Covid-19 pandemic has taken the daily cases of coronavirus infections to an all-time high of over 1.26 lakh.
Now, the question dominating the public debate is when the second Covid-19 wave may end in India.
A FAILED PREDICTION
When the coronavirus pandemic was sweeping across India last year, the government had appointed a committee of experts drawn from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) and the Indian Statistical Institute (ISI), and the Indian Institute of Sciences (IIS).
The committee developed a "super model" based on the peculiarity of Indian conditions.
The super model predicted that the Covid-19 pandemic would come to an end in February 2021 in India largely due to herd immunity.