Experts suggest that Cyclone Yaas indeed helped monsoon to arrive faster, and in the absence of the system, the onset would have been delayed to beyond June 2, as the MJO had been progressing eastwards.
According to the India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) daily update, the southwest monsoon has now advanced into some more parts of the Maldives-Comorin area, Sri Lanka and southwest and the east-central Bay of Bengal. Its northern limit continues to approach closer to the Indian mainland’s southernmost tip, and therefore, meteorologists expect that the season’s onset over Kerala is likely to occur on May 31, 2021.
This would mean the monsoon rains will commence over Kerala a day earlier than normal, as the southwest monsoon season typically sets in over God`s Own Country on June 1.
In June, the climate models have forecast a wet start, with above-normal rainfall across the western coast of India, including Kerala. However, the rains may not drench all parts of the state evenly. Due to inland convection, the Western Ghats section is likely to receive near-normal rains during the first two weeks of June, while the coastal districts may remain drier-than-normal.
Forecasts suggest that most parts of Southern India may remain dry for a while during mid-June. But, the latter half of June would be much wetter, as the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) returns to a favourable phase over the Indian Ocean and the monsoon speeds up northwards, explains Leon Brown, Head of Global Forecasting Operations at The Weather Company.
If You Like This Story, Support NYOOOZ
Your support to NYOOOZ will help us to continue create and publish news for and from smaller cities, which also need equal voice as much as citizens living in bigger cities have through mainstream media organizations.
Stay updated with all the Latest Thiruvananthapuram headlines here. For more exclusive & live news updates from all around India, stay connected with NYOOOZ.
